Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001167 0.001227 0.001289 0.001356 0.001429 0.001504 0.001588
2025-07-27 0.001082 0.001169 0.001263 0.001369 0.001487 0.001615 0.001765
2025-08-03 0.001024 0.001131 0.001248 0.001386 0.001545 0.001722 0.001937
2025-08-10 0.000968 0.001088 0.001223 0.001385 0.001576 0.001796 0.002071
2025-08-17 0.000905 0.001032 0.001177 0.001354 0.001568 0.001821 0.002144
2025-08-24 0.000858 0.000991 0.001144 0.001336 0.001572 0.001856 0.002229
2025-08-31 0.000827 0.000966 0.001129 0.001336 0.001596 0.001916 0.002345
2025-09-07 0.000792 0.000934 0.001103 0.001321 0.001599 0.001947 0.002425
2025-09-14 0.000762 0.000907 0.001081 0.001309 0.001605 0.001982 0.002509
2025-09-21 0.000734 0.000881 0.001059 0.001296 0.001608 0.002011 0.002585
2025-09-28 0.000706 0.000853 0.001035 0.001278 0.001603 0.002028 0.002646
2025-10-05 0.000677 0.000824 0.001007 0.001254 0.001587 0.002031 0.002685
2025-10-12 0.000660 0.000811 0.001000 0.001259 0.001614 0.002095 0.002819
2025-10-19 0.000646 0.000799 0.000995 0.001267 0.001646 0.002168 0.002971
2025-10-26 0.000634 0.000792 0.000995 0.001282 0.001686 0.002255 0.003149
2025-11-02 0.000618 0.000777 0.000984 0.001280 0.001704 0.002309 0.003279
2025-11-09 0.000592 0.000750 0.000955 0.001252 0.001682 0.002304 0.003318
2025-11-16 0.000573 0.000729 0.000935 0.001235 0.001675 0.002321 0.003391
2025-11-23 0.000560 0.000718 0.000927 0.001236 0.001694 0.002376 0.003527
2025-11-30 0.000543 0.000700 0.000910 0.001222 0.001690 0.002396 0.003608
2025-12-07 0.000529 0.000685 0.000896 0.001212 0.001691 0.002423 0.003701
2025-12-14 0.000514 0.000670 0.000881 0.001200 0.001689 0.002445 0.003786
2025-12-21 0.000499 0.000653 0.000864 0.001184 0.001679 0.002454 0.003848